Just like football, I do basketball projections.
Sorry, this isn’t as pretty as my usual. Didn’t have time. In fact, as some of the games are already over, it’s already out of date. Too bad. I will add a new post as each round completes.
| Round 1 | Round 2 | Sweet 16 | Elite Eight | Final Four | Championship | |
| Duke | 99.62% | 87.83% | 58.66% | 48.47% | 33.70% | 22.49% |
| Pittsburgh | 96.01% | 80.33% | 56.59% | 40.72% | 26.08% | 14.64% |
| Kansas | 98.23% | 64.77% | 43.85% | 29.00% | 14.95% | 8.57% |
| Texas | 81.75% | 61.92% | 29.17% | 22.39% | 13.94% | 8.24% |
| Ohio State | 97.90% | 76.54% | 44.93% | 25.52% | 13.44% | 6.24% |
| Purdue | 97.43% | 67.06% | 49.36% | 25.58% | 11.38% | 5.72% |
| Brigham Young | 87.72% | 64.46% | 47.35% | 22.89% | 12.12% | 5.40% |
| Syracuse | 87.04% | 61.68% | 37.09% | 20.75% | 10.98% | 5.21% |
| Washington | 74.44% | 47.33% | 25.60% | 13.31% | 6.58% | 2.87% |
| West Virginia | 78.40% | 43.56% | 22.42% | 11.76% | 5.62% | 2.32% |
| Kentucky | 93.67% | 50.14% | 24.67% | 12.25% | 5.53% | 2.08% |
| Wisconsin | 57.49% | 35.68% | 15.52% | 9.10% | 4.51% | 1.89% |
| Louisville | 73.45% | 40.75% | 17.41% | 9.02% | 3.55% | 1.56% |
| Vanderbilt | 69.21% | 39.18% | 15.86% | 8.20% | 3.10% | 1.33% |
| North Carolina | 81.23% | 39.27% | 18.56% | 8.08% | 3.40% | 1.25% |
| San Diego St | 85.40% | 50.72% | 29.09% | 7.88% | 3.09% | 1.13% |
| Illinois | 56.84% | 21.56% | 12.00% | 6.36% | 2.51% | 1.13% |
| Georgetown | 73.18% | 28.41% | 17.02% | 6.94% | 2.43% | 0.96% |
| Notre Dame | 78.46% | 47.16% | 18.31% | 6.72% | 2.11% | 0.75% |
| Belmont | 42.51% | 24.06% | 8.66% | 4.55% | 1.92% | 0.65% |
| Connecticut | 77.79% | 44.71% | 23.85% | 5.52% | 1.94% | 0.64% |
| Florida | 81.87% | 49.28% | 20.24% | 6.43% | 2.20% | 0.62% |
| Arizona | 74.63% | 26.31% | 7.09% | 3.94% | 1.57% | 0.59% |
| Utah St | 57.38% | 24.59% | 8.22% | 4.05% | 1.60% | 0.51% |
| Missouri | 58.87% | 30.51% | 15.37% | 3.84% | 1.35% | 0.45% |
| Marquette | 62.51% | 23.93% | 10.73% | 3.99% | 1.43% | 0.41% |
| UNLV | 43.16% | 13.58% | 6.66% | 3.09% | 1.02% | 0.39% |
| Temple | 60.15% | 29.67% | 14.96% | 3.17% | 1.03% | 0.32% |
| Gonzaga | 54.02% | 18.25% | 9.65% | 2.80% | 0.88% | 0.22% |
| Michigan St | 65.31% | 33.47% | 11.65% | 2.93% | 0.81% | 0.18% |
| Kansas St | 42.62% | 15.67% | 4.24% | 1.79% | 0.57% | 0.15% |
| Florida St | 53.23% | 25.36% | 7.37% | 2.02% | 0.46% | 0.12% |
| Butler | 52.23% | 10.50% | 3.82% | 1.50% | 0.43% | 0.10% |
| Tennessee | 61.63% | 9.31% | 2.72% | 1.18% | 0.34% | 0.10% |
| Cincinnati | 41.13% | 17.58% | 7.33% | 1.35% | 0.37% | 0.09% |
| St John's NY | 45.98% | 13.05% | 6.33% | 1.53% | 0.40% | 0.08% |
| Penn St | 39.85% | 16.35% | 6.76% | 1.17% | 0.31% | 0.08% |
| Xavier | 37.49% | 11.20% | 3.95% | 1.10% | 0.31% | 0.07% |
| Texas A&M | 46.77% | 21.34% | 5.63% | 1.40% | 0.29% | 0.07% |
| George Mason | 53.15% | 12.41% | 3.57% | 1.12% | 0.31% | 0.07% |
| Richmond | 30.79% | 12.88% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 0.23% | 0.06% |
| Old Dominion | 47.77% | 8.45% | 2.88% | 1.07% | 0.28% | 0.06% |
| Villanova | 46.85% | 10.86% | 2.94% | 0.88% | 0.23% | 0.05% |
| Oakland | 18.25% | 7.86% | 1.39% | 0.58% | 0.16% | 0.04% |
| Georgia | 25.56% | 9.80% | 2.84% | 0.72% | 0.18% | 0.04% |
| Alabama-Birmingham | 21.60% | 5.49% | 1.38% | 0.36% | 0.09% | 0.02% |
| Morehead St | 26.55% | 7.19% | 1.22% | 0.30% | 0.05% | 0.01% |
| VA Commonwealth | 26.82% | 4.16% | 1.48% | 0.27% | 0.04% | 0.01% |
| UCLA | 34.69% | 12.65% | 2.74% | 0.39% | 0.06% | 0.01% |
| Michigan | 38.37% | 2.81% | 0.52% | 0.16% | 0.03% | 0.00% |
| Bucknell | 22.21% | 7.19% | 2.00% | 0.19% | 0.03% | 0.00% |
| Memphis | 25.37% | 3.92% | 0.45% | 0.13% | 0.02% | 0.00% |
| Wofford | 12.28% | 4.24% | 1.47% | 0.20% | 0.03% | 0.00% |
| Indiana St | 12.96% | 3.19% | 0.70% | 0.10% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| Akron | 21.54% | 6.14% | 0.79% | 0.09% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| Long Island | 18.77% | 3.60% | 0.54% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| Northern Colorado | 14.60% | 3.26% | 0.65% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| UC-Santa Barbara | 18.13% | 4.59% | 0.56% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Princeton | 6.33% | 0.82% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| UNC-Asheville | 3.99% | 0.72% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| St Peter's | 2.57% | 0.37% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Boston University | 1.77% | 0.09% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Texas-San Antonio | 2.10% | 0.19% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Hampton | 0.38% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
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